Sonoma County · Precinct Intelligence
Where Paun Can Win Voters
County Supervisor, 2nd District — June 2, 2026 Primary · 60 consolidated precincts, all reporting
Last updated: Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 1:49:03 PM
November runoff vote-universe model →
Map boundaries built by dissolving the county's regular-precinct polygons into the June 2026 consolidated voting precincts. Aggregate results only — this shows where to target, not which individuals to persuade or what message works. Partisan-lean layer is the Governor race two-party vote (a proxy for precinct political lean), not party registration. Messaging notes below are hypotheses to test, not proven tactics.
01 — Map view
Click a precinct
Select a precinct on the map or in the table to see vote breakdown, margin, and recommended play.
02 — Full precinct table
| Precinct ↕ |
Opp. Score ▼ |
Currently |
Paun |
Paun Δ |
Lemus |
Moreda |
King |
Margin |
Lean |
Density |
Signs |
Canv. |
Supp.% |
Sign✓ |
Vol✓ |
Persuadable |
Undervotes |
Turnout |
Reg. |
OPP. SCORE — Paun's upside here: winnable opponent votes + untapped turnout (higher = more)
LEAN — precinct's politics from the Governor race (D+ Democratic, R+ Republican); not registration
DENSITY — registered voters per square mile (higher = more doors per block)
PERSUADABLE — total votes cast for opponents (the pool Paun could win over)
SIGNS — Paun yard signs per precinct (campaign field data; visible support, not a predictor)
PAUN Δ — change in Paun's vote share since the first count (6/4); shows how the full count's ballots moved her share, not vote changes
Tip: hover any column header for its definition.